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                                                                                                                                                                          永旺国际线上娱乐:IMF警告:贸易争端将对美国经济构成实质性风险

                                                                                                                                                                          2019年06月07日 16:30 来源:【网投始祖、大额无忧】

                                                                                                                                                                          (原标题:IMF警告贸易争端对美国经济构成实质性风险)

                                                                                                                                                                          国际货币基金组织(IMF)6日警告说,贸易争端升级和金融市场环境突然逆转,将对美国经济构成实质性风险。

                                                                                                                                                                          IMF当天在结束对美国第四条款磋商的声明中说,随着减税刺激政策的效果逐步消退,IMF预计美国经济增速将从2018年的2.9%放缓至2019年的2.6%,到2020年进一步减速至2%左右水平。

                                                                                                                                                                          IMF警告,美国政府采取的提高进口关税和其他措施正损害全球贸易体系,增加对货物和服务贸易的限制,并引发一系列贸易反制措施。如果贸易争端继续升级或金融市场环境突然逆转,将会对美国经济构成实质性风险。

                                                                                                                                                                          IMF支持美联储暂停加息,称这会给予决策者更多时间评估通胀和就业面临的风险,并对是否有必要进一步调整利率形成更清晰的看法。IMF认为,美联储应推迟进一步加息,直到出现更明显的薪资或物价上涨迹象。

                                                                                                                                                                          IMF总裁拉加德当天在新闻发布会上说,如果金融环境突然收紧,并与较高的企业和公共债务风险交织,将会对美国实体经济和就业产生不利影响,并对其他经济体造成负面溢出效应。她还警告美国公共债务水平不可持续,需要调整政策降低财政赤字、令公共债务在中期内逐步进入下行轨道。

                                                                                                                                                                          拉加德重申贸易战没有赢家,并敦促美国和中国、墨西哥等贸易伙伴尽快达成强化国际贸易体系的全面协议、化解贸易紧张局势。她表示,全球经济运转良好依赖于更加开放、稳定、透明和基于规则的国际贸易体系,美国应与其他贸易伙伴通过建设性合作来更好应对贸易体系中的扭曲状况。

                                                                                                                                                                          根据IMF章程第四条款规定,IMF每年都会派出工作小组到成员经济体调研,就宏观经济政策、经济发展形势与成员经济体进行磋商,并在IMF决策机构执董会进行讨论。